Despite being just 33, Julian Nagelsmann is the man who can take Barcelona forward as the club embarks on a new era under a new administration soon.
From Johan Cruyff to Pep Guardiola, some of football’s most innovative thinkers have graced the Camp Nou throughout the decades. At the height of their powers, FC Barcelona were pioneers, synonymous with styles of play that propelled the sport forward. But in recent memory, they have been the complete antithesis of everything they once stood for, devoid of awe and tactical distinction.
Facing bankruptcy, presidential elections, and a much-needed squad overhaul, Barça need the right manager at the helm — someone bright and forward-thinking, symbolic of the club’s ambition.
Enter Julian Nagelsmann
While only one month younger than Lionel Messi, Nagelsmann is already staking his claim as one of the best managers in the world. He’s inventive, eager, and could be exactly what Barça need to reestablish themselves as the kings of world football.
Nagelsmann did not enjoy an extensive playing career, but he seems en-route a decorated managerial life. (Photo by Lukas Schulze/Getty Images)
Nagelsmann was only 20 years old when a knee injury forced a premature end to his playing career. Given that he was still under contract with FC Ausburg, the aspiring centre-back was put to work as an unofficial scout for current Paris Saint-Germain coach Thomas Tuchel.
He then moved on to coach 1899 Hoffenheim’s youth teams before being appointed manager of their senior-side in 2016. With that, he became the youngest permanent manager in Bundesliga history at age 28 and led Hoffenheim to their first-ever Champions League berth in 2017 –already historic.
Nagelsmann is now midway through his second season at Red Bull Leipzig, where his aspirations are equally matched by the club’s. Last season, he became the youngest manager to lead a team to the Champions League knockout stages, guiding Die Roten Bullen all the way to the semi-finals, before being knocked out by none other than Tuchel’s PSG.
Nagelsmann’s sides are attacking, high-pressing, and versatile. He employs a myriad of formations, most commonly 3–5–2 and 4–4–2, tasked to exploit his opponent’s weaknesses and counter their strengths. He also consistently rotates his squad and fielded 29 different players across all competitions last season.
His formations and players may be subject to change, but his core principles are ever-present, ones that surround Johann Cruyff’s ideas about Total Football, and the ability of each player to play multiple roles and positions.
We have seen Naglesmann implement that by using Dani Olmo in nearly seven different positions – including defensive midfield. Apart from that, the well-known face of Marcel Sabitzer embodies Nagelsmann’s ideas. He, too, has played across multiple positions including on the wing, striker, defensive midfield, and even as a wing-back.
Marcel Sabitzer embodies the ideologies that Julian Nagelsmann wants to present. (Photo by Boris Streubel/Bongarts/Getty Images)
“[Formations] are just principles and things that players should do in different parts of the game. […] They are just numbers. I try to find a solution for the next opponent, depending on how I can put our way of playing football in the best system.”Julian Nagelsmann | Interview with Tribuna Expresso
Nagelsmann prefers to play out from the back, but never needlessly and lethargically passing the ball around. Leipzig like to drag their opponents to one side of the pitch before quickly switching it to the opposite flank, most often to a marauding wing-back.
He places high emphasis on verticality, using short but high-tempo passes to progress the ball. During last season’s Bundesliga campaign, Leipzig attempted the second-least amount of long balls per game, but the fourth most total passes.
“I like my team to play with two touches most of the time. If we play with two touches, the pass can come out stronger and speed up the pace.”Julian Nagelsmann | Interview with Tribuna Expresso
The centre-back, typically Frenchman Dayot Upamecano, carries the ball forward to create a numerical advantage in the midfield. His movement is crucial in dragging opposing midfielders out of position, which in turn allows the multifaceted Marcel Sabitzer to advance and be a threat in the attacking third. Last season, the Austrian tallied 16 goals and ten assists.
Dayot Upamecano and Marcel Sabitzer are the prime elements of RB Leipzig under Nagelsmann. (Photo by Alex Grimm/Bongarts/Getty Images)
Konrad Laimer is another key player, whose versatility and high work rate gives his teammates freedom to roam, as well as lets the team adopt different shapes in offence and defence. The wing-backs are also vital as they add width and ascendancy in the midfield that allows Leipzig to dominate that area of the park. A standout is Angeliño, a Spaniard on-loan from Manchester City who already has five goals in 11 appearances this season.
In the attacking third, Nagelsmann encourages lots of off-ball movement, one-two passes, and quick layoffs. Frequently using two holding midfielders, one moves back into defence whilst the other can propel ahead, interchanging with forwards who like to drop deep.
The attacking midfielders often drift narrowly, forming a midfield box, dragging opposing full-backs out of position and establishing precedence out wide. These creative players in the middle allow for meticulous combination plays and precise passing. This constant movement and flexibility wreaks havoc for their opponents and leads to many goal-scoring opportunities.
Currently sitting in second place in the Bundesliga, the Saxony-based side are averaging the most shots per game with 17.43. By comparison, Barcelona are averaging 13.0 in La Liga. Last season, Leipzig had the second most touches in the attacking penalty area in the league and the second most progressive passes per game.
Former Barcelona player Dani Olmo often runs riot in the final third for Julian Nagelsmann. (Photo by Ina Fassbender/Pool)
They were also second in expected goals per match and shot-creating actions per 90 minutes. They were third in goal creating chances in the Bundesliga with 3.94 a game, only behind giants Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund.
Nagelsmann’s teams defend with cohesion and energy. Last season, Die Roten Bullen had the second-best defensive record in the league, conceding 37 goals in 34 matches, which by Bundesliga metrics is not very high.
His tactical flexibility allows for fluid formations, such as a two-man backline in attack morphing into five men on defence. This is coupled by the likes of Lukas Klostermann and Marcel Halstenberg, who fullbacks by trait, are used as overlapping centre-backs. His teams also use a high-line, rely on offside traps, and are very active in pressing.
“Our goal is to always take advantage of an interception to have an advantage of pace and speed over the opponent, who plays wide and wide.”Naglesmann interview from Football Hackers: The Science and Art of a Data Revolution by Christoph Biermann
For further numerical context, in the 2019-2020 Bundesliga, Leipzig had the third-highest successful pressures rate (winning the ball back within five seconds of applying pressure) with 32.7%. In the Champions League, they were second in pressures in the attacking third, indicating where they do most of their damage.
Off the Pitch
Nagelsmann demands lots of energy, high work rate and versatility from his players, and the results speak for themselves. Although he’s yet to win a major trophy, he has proven he can succeed even without the biggest of names, and his squads are often greater than the sum of their parts.
Barcelona could benefit a lot with a few high-intensity training sessions with Julian Nagelsmann. (Photo by DAVID RAMOS/AFP)
The 33-year-old has also helped developed many star players, such as Bayern Munich’s Serge Gnabry and Chelsea FC’s Timo Werner, who he worked with at Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig respectively.
In training, Nagelsmann “never wants to do the same drill twice,” according to his interview for the book Football Hackers. He has 31 principles of football that he integrates and specific goals he wants to accomplish every session. He also utilizes technology like drones and has even placed a giant video screen next to the training ground so players can see their movements and shapes from a different angle.
There are a plethora of great managers Barcelona will be looking at should Ronald Koeman not be a long-term choice, including club legend Xavi Hernández, and Julian Nagelsmann should certainly be on the list. He’s proving to be an innovative tactician and a commanding locker room presence and could help propel the Blaugrana into a new era. In fact, he’s already proclaimed his interest for the job.
Nagelsmann can help develop countless youth stars for Barcelona, bringing the best out of an underperforming squad, and his attacking brand of football would translate well to Spain. Regardless of a lack of major silverware, he’s already off to a promising start.
Julian Nagelsmann has the mind, the character, the energy, and the drip to become the next manager of Barcelona. (Photo by Andrew Yates/Sportimage)
Nevertheless, Nagelsmann is by no means a finished product, and he still needs more experience that naturally comes with more years under his belt and working for a club with bigger expectations.
A defining few months is on the horizon for Barcelona, and Julian Nagelsmann could be exactly who they need to once again dazzle the world with style and ambition.
Statistics courtesy of FBref.
Erling Haaland — One for Barcelona to chase
Erling Haaland is set to dominate the world of football for the next decade, and Barcelona will regret if they do not sign him in the next summer window.
Whenever Barcelona are linked with new players, one question always emerges: “Does he have the Barça DNA?” Although a vague term, Barça DNA has come to mean the traits that a Barça player should have, whether already at the club or a prospective transfer. These traits include everything from being technically sound to fitting a possession-oriented style — think of Xavi Hernández, Andrés Iniesta, and Lionel Messi.
It’s natural for a club to want players that fit their ethos, especially Barcelona who have such a well-established identity, but where should the line be drawn? Should the Blaugrana miss out on top players because of an inhibition to change tactics, or should the team mould itself around them?
This is where Erling Haaland comes into play. At only 20-years old, Haaland has already solidified himself as one of the best young players in the world, and his position at centre-forward fills a dire need for the Catalans. And to the joy of Culés, the links to him have already begun, with Joan Laporta particularly interested in signing him for the club when and if he becomes President.
Rumours around his signing prop up two eternal arguments: He’s a world-class player that we need versus, he doesn’t fit our player profile.
How do Barcelona navigate this tricky situation?
Who is “The Terminator”?
Dubbed ‘the Terminator’, Haaland burst onto the world stage in the 2019-20 season with Austrian club Red Bull Salzburg, tallying 24 goals in 20 appearances. He also made headlines with the Norwegian international team in the under-20 World Cup, where he scored nine goals in one match.
His ‘meditation’ celebrations are among things Haaland has caught attention for. (Photo via Imago)
In January 2020, he made a mid-season switch to Borussia Dortmund and has been wreaking havoc ever since. Now in the midst of his first full season with the German club, Haaland has scored 33 goals in 31 appearances, winning the Golden Boy Award as well, looking set to dominate world football for the next decade.
Haaland is notorious for his finishing, goal-scoring instincts, and intelligent off-the-ball movement. He scores in a variety of manners, whether with powerful long-range shots or well-placed finishes. As aforementioned, his goalscoring record speaks for itself, having already scored 17 goals in 13 appearances this season.
At 6’4″, he is a menace for opposing defenders, boasting a natural ability in the air as well as blistering pace, a combination unheard of, and feared. Earlier this year in a match against Paris Saint-Germain, the Norwegian reached a top speed of 36 kilometers per hour.
The 20-year old tends to play off the shoulder of the defence, menacingly waiting for a through-ball or long ball from his creative teammates.
Below is Haaland’s heat-map from this season, representing his average positions on the pitch. Evidently, he lurks in and around the box, waiting for the right moment to pounce.
Haaland’s heat-map from for the 2020/21 BuLi season. (Courtesy Sofascore)
With the ball at his feet, his pace and physicality allow him to out-run his defender, and without it, his world-class positioning always results in him being in the best spot to score a goal. His movement also drags opposing defenders, putting his teammates in prime goalscoring opportunities. Haaland is a nightmare to defend and must be closely marked because all he needs is a sliver of space to score.
Though not his best attribute, he can link up well with his midfielders, playing small one-twos, then receiving the ball in the penalty box.
Haaland is a versatile scorer, who can do a lot with creators like the ones Barcelona has behind him. (Photo via Imago)
Haaland is a counter-attacking threat as he can use his pace to capitalize on regrouping defenders. He’s also adept at holding up the ball, fending off defenders with his physicality and laying the ball off to his teammates. He’s an old-school number nine, with drops of a brilliant, adaptable player who can score goals out of thin air.
With at least a decade in front of him, Haaland can still improve, and one can only wonder what his ceiling is.
“I’ve maybe been around too long but I have never seen a guy since maybe Messi or Ronaldo that developed at such a young age. That’s very unique and he has all the possibilities to become a really world class player.”Norway coach Lars Lagerback
The Numbers Behind the Player
In his young career, Haaland has already established himself as one of the most lethal finishers in the world. He recently became the youngest and fastest player ever to reach 15 Champions League goals, as well as the youngest to score four goals in a single Bundesliga match.
The Norwegian-international has taken 91 shots on target in his professional career, and scored 72 goals, giving him an astonishing shots on target to goals ratio of 79%. He’s averaging 4.21 shots per 90 minutes this season and 2.59 shot-creating actions. Additionally, he comes up with 0.53 goal creating actions a game, showcasing how much of an all-around threat he is.
The following graphic compares Haaland’s statistics in the last two seasons with top-five league forwards.
His goalscoring attributes (red) clearly stand out and his creative stats (yellow) are promising too.
The graphic below compares Haaland’s stats in the Bundesliga over the last two seasons with Bayern Munich’s talisman Robert Lewandowski.
(Graphic from Understat)
The stats are eerily similar, albeit Haaland has played almost half as many minutes as Lewandowski, arriving not before January. The most noteworthy one being the G90 (goals per 90) and A90 stats (assists per 90), where he eclipses the Pole. A goalless outing today barely provides a dent to what has been a fantastic start to life in the 2020/21 Bundesliga season.
Should Barça sign him?
Haaland is evidently a world-class forward, yet questions about his fit persist. Some fans question whether his player profile suits the Catalans, and many are wary of his lack of “Barça DNA”.
While he’s not as much of a creator as Barça might want in the striker position, he’s by no means inept and still has so much time to improve. Furthermore, Barça’s front line is filled with creative players like Lionel Messi and Antoine Griezmann, and they desperately need someone who is lethal in front of goal. He may not be renowned for his passing or creating in tight spaces, but he excels in the most important duty of a goalscorer: scoring goals.
The goal against PSG is testament of the plethora of goals Haaland is capable of scoring, something Barcelona crave for. (Photo by Lars Baron/Bongarts)
On the other hand, Barça typically face teams that like to sit-deep and form a low block. How would Haaland fare against opposition that won’t allow him to maximize his pace and darting runs? Given his ability and instincts, it’s safe to assume that with the right creative pieces behind him, there’s no doubt Haaland could thrive in any setup, especially given his height and built, which can help him bully the strongest defenders in the box.
Above all else, it’s necessary to consider whether Haaland would even want to go to Barcelona, let alone whether the Catalans should pursue him.
The club is an institutional mess, and the squad is performing poorly. It’s not exactly an ideal spot for any player. Barcelona are also struggling financially, and can not realistically pursue Haaland without offloading a lot of other players. Haaland does have a fixed release clause of €75 million, though, and certainly, that plays into Barcelona’s lap. The centre forward would definitely need assurances of being an undisputed starter, as his ability certainly warrants that.
Another reason Barcelona should definitely get into the action to bring him to Spain is because rivals Real Madrid are the clear favourites to sign Kylian Mbappe from Paris Saint-Germain. Ansu Fati, for all his brilliance, is too young to draw comparisons with the Frenchman, but Erling Haaland is the man who can give him real competition, and if shove comes to push, even overtake him.
Alongside Kylian Mbappé, Haaland might be the best young player in the world right now. He has all the necessary attributes to shine anywhere and is a transfer target for most of Europe’s big clubs. The 20-year old could potentially lead Barça’s front line for the next decade, and he could be Barça’s next iconic number nine, following in the footsteps of Luis Suárez, David Villa and Samuel Eto’o.
Haaland is set to dominate the decade, and Barcelona will regret not getting him. (Photo by Ina FASSBENDER / AFP)
He would surely astonish the Camp Nou, even without the so-called “Barça DNA”, but his transfer depends on navigating the financial crisis, and his on the pitch success depends on the right coach. However, just having Haaland on the team sheet, Barcelona would return to instilling genuine fear into their opponents.